At 6.3%, core sector growth jumps to 13-month high in August

India’s infrastructure sector posted a robust recovery in August 2025, with core industries growing at 6.3% year-on-year—the highest pace in 13 months. The latest data released by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry signals a strong rebound in industrial activity, driven by double-digit expansion in coal, electricity, and steel production.

The eight core sectors—coal, crude oil, natural gas, refinery products, fertilizers, steel, cement, and electricity—account for nearly 40% of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP). August’s performance marks a sharp improvement over July’s 4.2% growth and reflects a broad-based recovery across segments.

Economists attribute the surge to pre-festive demand, improved monsoon distribution, and higher capacity utilization in key industries. The data also aligns with other macro indicators such as GST collections, PMI readings, and freight volumes, all pointing toward a strengthening economic momentum ahead of the festive quarter.

Core Sector Performance – August 2025 vs August 2024

SectorGrowth Rate (Aug 2025)Growth Rate (Aug 2024)Key Drivers
Coal12.1%7.6%Power demand, inventory buildup
Electricity10.4%5.9%Grid expansion, urban consumption
Steel9.8%6.2%Infra push, auto sector recovery
Cement5.6%3.1%Real estate, rural housing
Fertilizers3.2%1.9%Kharif sowing, subsidy support
Refinery Products2.9%4.5%Stable crude prices
Natural Gas2.1%1.3%Domestic output, LNG imports
Crude Oil-0.5%-1.2%Declining domestic reserves

The coal sector led the pack with a 12.1% growth, supported by higher dispatches to thermal power plants and increased mining activity. Electricity generation rose 10.4%, reflecting strong urban and industrial consumption. Steel and cement also posted healthy gains, buoyed by infrastructure spending and real estate activity.

Crude oil remained the only laggard, contracting 0.5% due to declining domestic reserves and limited exploration activity. However, the impact was offset by gains in refinery products and natural gas.

The overall core sector index stood at 156.7 in August, compared to 147.4 in the same month last year. This uptick is expected to positively influence the IIP data for August, which will be released next month.

Monthly Core Sector Index – Last 6 Months

MonthCore Sector IndexYoY Growth (%)MoM Change (%)
March 2025145.23.5%-0.8%
April 2025148.64.1%+2.3%
May 2025150.34.8%+1.1%
June 2025152.75.2%+1.6%
July 2025153.94.2%+0.8%
August 2025156.76.3%+1.8%

Industry leaders have welcomed the data, calling it a sign of resilience and recovery. “The August numbers show that India’s industrial engine is gaining traction. With festive demand kicking in and policy support continuing, we expect this momentum to sustain through Q3,” said a senior executive at the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII).

The government’s infrastructure push under schemes like PM Gati Shakti, Bharatmala, and Smart Cities Mission has played a key role in driving demand for steel, cement, and electricity. Additionally, rural housing schemes and urban redevelopment projects have supported construction activity.

Economists believe the strong core sector performance will support GDP growth in Q2 FY26, which is projected to be around 7.2%. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has maintained a balanced stance, keeping repo rates unchanged while monitoring inflation and growth dynamics.

Key Economic Indicators – August 2025 Snapshot

IndicatorValue/TrendRemarks
Core Sector Growth6.3%13-month high
GST Collections₹1.72 lakh croreRobust consumption
Manufacturing PMI56.8Expansion zone
Rail Freight Volume132 million tonnesStrong logistics activity
Power Demand215 GW peakUrban and industrial surge

Looking ahead, analysts expect the momentum to continue, especially with festive consumption, government capex, and private investment picking up. However, risks remain in the form of global oil price volatility, geopolitical tensions, and uneven monsoon impact on rural demand.

The Ministry of Finance is expected to release its mid-year economic review next month, which will provide further clarity on fiscal trends and growth outlook. Meanwhile, the strong core sector data has boosted investor sentiment, with benchmark indices posting gains and infrastructure stocks rallying.

Disclaimer: This article is based on publicly available government data, industry commentary, and economic analysis. It does not constitute investment advice or political endorsement. All figures are subject to revision by official agencies. The content is intended for editorial and informational purposes only.

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