‘They’ll Choose American Economy’: Lindsey Graham Links 50% Tariff on India to Trump-Putin Alaska Summit

In a striking geopolitical development, U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham has claimed that former President Donald Trump’s proposed 50% tariff on India’s Russian oil imports was a key trigger for Russian President Vladimir Putin’s unexpected visit to Alaska. The meeting, which took place on Sunday, has drawn global attention not only for its location but for the underlying economic and strategic tensions it represents.

Graham’s remarks, made during a Fox News interview, have added fuel to the ongoing debate over the U.S.’s evolving foreign policy under Trump’s renewed leadership and its implications for India, Russia, and the broader energy trade landscape.

🔍 Graham’s Assertion: Tariffs as Leverage

Senator Graham stated that Trump’s threat to impose a 50% tariff on India for purchasing Russian oil and gas was a strategic move designed to pressure Russia by targeting its key customers. “Putin came to Alaska because Trump threatened to put a 50 per cent tariff on India for buying Russian oil and gas,” Graham said, adding that Russia’s economic vulnerability lies in its dependence on energy exports.

He further emphasized that if Washington forces countries to choose between the American economy and discounted Russian energy, “they’ll choose American economy.” This statement underscores the belief that economic incentives and penalties can be powerful tools in reshaping global alliances.

🌐 The Trump-Putin Alaska Summit

The summit between Trump and Putin, held in Anchorage, Alaska, was described by both leaders as “constructive” and “productive,” though no formal agreement was reached. Trump reiterated that “there is no deal until there is a deal,” while Putin stressed the need to address Russia’s “legitimate concerns.”

The meeting’s location—Alaska—was symbolic, harking back to the U.S.’s purchase of the territory from Russia in 1867. Graham quipped, “Putin didn’t come to see how Alaska was doing after we bought it,” suggesting that the visit was entirely driven by Trump’s tariff threat.

🇮🇳 India’s Response: Firm and Unyielding

India has responded strongly to the proposed tariffs. Prime Minister Narendra Modi labeled the move “unfair, unjustified, and unreasonable,” asserting that India’s energy security and economic interests will not be compromised.

Despite Trump’s claims that India may halt Russian oil imports under pressure, Indian officials have denied any such shift. India remains one of the largest importers of Russian crude, alongside China and Brazil.

📉 Russia’s Economic Vulnerability

Graham’s comments highlight a broader strategy aimed at undermining Russia’s financial backbone—its energy exports. According to U.S. officials, nearly 80% of Russia’s crude oil exports go to India, China, and Brazil. By targeting these nations with tariffs, the U.S. aims to choke off the revenue stream funding Russia’s military operations in Ukraine.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has warned of “secondary tariffs” if negotiations fail, indicating that the U.S. may expand its economic measures beyond India.

🔥 The Ukraine Factor

The Trump-Putin summit also touched upon the ongoing war in Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy expressed openness to “constructive cooperation” following Trump’s communication that Putin prefers a “comprehensive peace deal” over a ceasefire.

Graham, however, remained skeptical, warning that Putin’s ambitions extend beyond Ukraine. “Putin wants to take countries that are not his,” he said, referencing Russia’s past violations of sovereignty agreements.

🧭 Strategic Calculations: Tariffs as Diplomacy

Trump’s use of tariffs as a diplomatic tool marks a shift from traditional sanctions. By directly targeting India—a key U.S. partner—he signals a willingness to disrupt global trade norms to achieve strategic goals.

Graham’s assertion that “they’ll choose American economy” reflects confidence in the U.S.’s ability to sway nations through economic pressure. However, India’s firm stance suggests that such measures may not yield immediate compliance.

🛢️ Energy Diplomacy: A New Cold War?

The unfolding scenario resembles a new form of Cold War, where energy trade replaces ideological confrontation. The U.S. is leveraging its economic might to isolate Russia, while India and other nations navigate the complex terrain of energy security and geopolitical alignment.

India’s continued engagement with Russia, despite U.S. pressure, reflects a multipolar world where national interests often outweigh alliance expectations.

🧠 Expert Opinions and Global Reactions

While Graham’s comments have stirred debate, analysts caution against overreliance on tariffs as a diplomatic tool. “Tariffs can backfire, especially when applied to strategic partners,” said one senior economist. Others argue that India’s energy needs and regional priorities make it unlikely to yield to U.S. pressure without significant concessions.

Global markets have responded with volatility, particularly in oil futures, as traders assess the impact of potential tariffs on supply chains.

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Disclaimer: This article is based on publicly available statements and news reports. It is intended for informational purposes only and does not reflect any political or institutional bias.