China’s Strategic Play with Bangladesh: A Long-Term Cost for Dhaka?

China’s growing influence in Bangladesh has raised concerns about the long-term implications for Dhaka’s foreign policy and economic stability. Recent developments, including Bangladesh’s increasing alignment with Beijing, have sparked debates about the potential costs of distancing itself from India, its traditional ally.

Under the leadership of Chief Adviser Muhammad Yunus, Bangladesh has sought to strengthen ties with China, signing multiple agreements on trade, infrastructure, and cultural cooperation. This shift comes after the ousting of former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who was known for her close ties with India. Yunus’s administration has emphasized a pragmatic approach, leveraging China’s financial and technical expertise to address economic challenges.

However, experts warn that this realignment could have significant repercussions. India, which shares a 4,096-kilometer border with Bangladesh, has been a key partner in trade, security, and regional stability. Any strain in India-Bangladesh relations could disrupt economic activities and impact Bangladesh’s textile industry, which heavily relies on Indian cotton imports.

China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has already seen substantial investments in Bangladesh, including infrastructure projects and economic corridors. While these initiatives promise economic growth, they also raise concerns about debt dependency and sovereignty. Critics argue that China’s strategic interests in South Asia could overshadow Bangladesh’s long-term development goals.

As Dhaka navigates this complex geopolitical landscape, the question remains: Can Bangladesh balance its relations with both India and China without compromising its national interests? The coming years will be crucial in determining the impact of this strategic shift on Bangladesh’s economic and political future.

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