India Set to Become 4th Largest Economy in 2025, Poised to Overtake Germany by 2028

India is on track to surpass Japan and become the world’s fourth-largest economy in 2025, according to the latest World Economic Outlook report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The country’s nominal GDP for 2025 is projected to reach $4.187 trillion, slightly ahead of Japan’s estimated $4.186 trillion.

India’s Economic Growth Trajectory

India, which was the fifth-largest economy until 2024, is expected to continue its rapid expansion, overtaking Germany by 2028 to become the third-largest economy globally. By that year, India’s GDP is forecasted to hit $5.58 trillion, surpassing Germany’s $5.25 trillion.

Key Drivers of Growth

The IMF attributes India’s sustained economic momentum to:

  • Strong private consumption, particularly in rural areas.
  • Robust infrastructure investments and digital transformation.
  • Government-led capital expenditure supporting industrial expansion.

Global Economic Context

Despite India’s impressive growth, the IMF has revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast downward to 6.2%, citing heightened global trade tensions and uncertainty stemming from U.S. tariff policies.

India’s Path to a $5 Trillion Economy

India is expected to achieve a $5 trillion economy milestone by 2027, reinforcing its position as a global economic powerhouse.

With the United States and China continuing to hold the top two spots, India’s rise signals a major shift in global economic rankings.

Stay tuned for further updates on India’s economic trajectory.

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